M Rajeevan of the National Atmospheric Research Laboratory said: “The inability to predict the 2009 drought has raised many serious problems. On the other hand, the state-of-the-art coupled atmospheric models of the ocean have shown improved skills in predicting inter-annual variability. . of the rainfall of the Indian summer monsoon.”
He spoke at the Golden Jubilee Conference of the Indian Institute of Climate Change (IITM), Pune, on “opportunities and challenges in monsoon forecasting in a changing climate.” Since 2011, the IITM has been using the coupled monsoon forecast model.
Better weather forecasts need data from all parts of the world. “In every part of the world, farmers are saying that the climate is not what it used to be. That’s why traditional knowledge also falls short. For a better forecast of the weather, we need observations from all countries. We need supercomputers of even higher We must have knowledge of how to translate scientific progress into concrete applications,” said Michel Jarraud, Secretary General of the World Meteorological Organization.
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